Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 147.449273 161.987576 176.871339 193.219902 210.644402 228.632255 248.576901
2025-01-05 123.448329 145.094993 168.313323 194.948059 224.533824 256.269047 292.760552
2025-01-12 102.433441 128.550078 157.835361 192.803208 233.110739 277.814190 330.830866
2025-01-19 86.215375 115.244116 149.191834 191.245910 241.352469 298.564347 368.227602
2025-01-26 77.165131 109.129570 147.917112 197.503546 258.240765 329.261413 417.588881
2025-02-02 69.261752 103.367360 146.215310 202.598159 273.397182 357.940846 465.039017
2025-02-09 62.990888 98.879832 145.440504 208.332048 289.065735 387.259631 513.639122
2025-02-16 57.444954 94.673029 144.468902 213.388306 303.665003 415.300733 561.028046
2025-02-23 48.686983 85.007784 135.354876 207.004713 303.012232 423.934179 584.247694
2025-03-02 42.217674 77.899062 129.050428 203.736386 305.888829 436.674717 612.450074
2025-03-09 37.732278 73.259491 125.768148 204.206055 313.437265 455.280421 648.158434
2025-03-16 34.289849 69.858144 123.944387 206.444251 323.211181 476.767214 687.741790
2025-03-23 32.228356 68.578633 125.275470 213.357762 339.791277 507.871643 740.843285
2025-03-30 29.855593 66.529595 125.272303 218.273578 353.692623 535.697675 790.203838
2025-04-06 26.510158 62.403964 121.715288 217.681137 359.708176 552.957121 825.859098
2025-04-13 23.518793 58.544313 118.257498 216.964779 365.375147 569.711838 860.993601
2025-04-20 22.363479 57.993125 120.121958 224.396994 382.928036 603.004259 918.767169
2025-04-27 21.035686 56.945382 121.045854 230.319442 398.329886 633.507927 973.141315
2025-05-04 19.918652 56.179624 122.352286 236.806153 414.616672 665.410045 1029.747580
2025-05-11 18.758884 55.185217 123.165888 242.467446 429.728001 695.835951 1084.677277
2025-05-18 15.889205 50.133711 116.427891 235.519443 425.535673 698.766253 1101.670421
2025-05-25 13.806411 46.495606 111.931025 231.962449 426.265589 708.558801 1128.132706
2025-06-01 12.440098 44.317890 109.964362 232.498505 433.227697 727.326144 1167.263426